2015 and aliens (and pigeons)

A group of aliens come to visit the world, threatening the mankind. They said they need a group of 2015 people who were born exactly on the same minute in 2015 . If people cannot find the group, then the world will be devastated completely. You, as the brave, want to rescue the world so you made the choice of which country you should search for the best strategy.

The country must surely have the group of people the aliens requested, and should have the least people possible to be easy to control the search.

The data below shows suitable country for the search and its estimated population in 2015:

  • China - 1,372,560,000
  • United States - 322,001,000
  • Japan - 126,832,000
  • Thailand - 65,104,000
  • Australia - 23,924,700

Which of the following is the best country that fits the given condition?

Japan Australia Thailand United States China

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1 solution

Jimmy PrevailLone
Oct 11, 2015

This problem can be solved using Pigeonhole Principle k = n 1 m + 1 \boxed{k = \bigg\lfloor\dfrac{n-1}{m}\bigg\rfloor + 1}

There are 60 60 minutes in an hour.
There are 24 24 hours in a day.
There are 365 365 days in 2015.
The total of different times people were born is 60 × 24 × 365 = 525 , 600. 60\times24\times365 = 525,600.
We need to be sure that 2015 people will share the same minute of birth this year.
From the above, k = 2015 k = 2015 and m = 525 , 600. m = 525,600.

2015 = n 1 525 , 600 + 1 2015 = \bigg\lfloor\dfrac{n-1}{525,600}\bigg\rfloor + 1 2014 = n 1 525 , 600 2014 = \bigg\lfloor\dfrac{n-1}{525,600}\bigg\rfloor 2014 = n 1 525 , 600 2014 = \dfrac{n-1}{525,600} 2014 × 525 , 600 = n 1 2014\times525,600 = n - 1 1 , 058 , 588 , 400 = n 1 1,058,588,400 = n - 1 n = 1 , 058 , 588 , 401 n = 1,058,588,401

We need at least 1 , 058 , 588 , 401 1,058,588,401 people to be sure.
Therefore, the only capable country for the situation is C h i n a . \boxed{China}.

The estimated population tells the number of people alive in 2015, not only people born in 2015. Assuming a generous bound of at most 10% people born in any given year, even China isn't enough (only 130 million people compared to the 1 billion necessary).

However, China is still the correct answer, if only because it has the most population and hence the highest probability of succeeding.

Ivan Koswara - 5 years, 8 months ago

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Yes, and also as 2015 is the current year, the number of people required also depends on which day the question is being asked.

vivek sedani - 5 years, 8 months ago

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