2018 in the soup?

Let Z N ( μ = 2018 , σ 2 = 201 8 2 ) Z \sim N(\mu = 2018, \sigma^2 = 2018^2) be a random variable with a normal distribution of mean μ = 2018 \mu = 2018 and variance σ 2 = 201 8 2 \sigma^2 = 2018^2 .

What is the value of a a such that the probability P ( Z 4076360 ) = P ( Z a ) P( Z \leq 4076360) = P( Z \ge a) ?

Normal distribution


The answer is -4072324.

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2 solutions

Nicholas Tanvis
Apr 4, 2018

Normal distribution curves are symmetrical about the mean. Since the mean is 2018, a + 4076360 2 = 2018 a = 4072324 \frac{a + 4076360}{2} = 2018 \implies a = -4072324

P ( Z 4076360 ) = P ( ( Z 2018 ) ( 4076360 2018 ) ) = P ( Z 2018 2018 4076360 2018 2018 ) = P ( Z 2018 2018 2019 ) = P( Z \leq 4076360) = P((Z - 2018) \leq (4076360 - 2018)) = P(\frac{Z - 2018}{2018} \leq \frac{4076360 - 2018}{2018}) = P(\frac{Z - 2018}{2018} \leq 2019) = (Due to Z 2018 2018 N ( 0 , 1 ) \frac{Z - 2018}{2018} \sim N(0, 1) ) = P ( Z 2018 2018 2019 ) = P ( Z 2018 2019 2018 ) = P ( Z 2018 2019 2018 ) = P ( Z 4072324 ) = P(\frac{Z - 2018}{2018} \ge -2019) = P(Z - 2018 \ge -2019 \cdot 2018) = P(Z \ge 2018 - 2019 \cdot 2018) = P(Z \ge - 4072324)

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