24 decks

24 decks of 52 standard playing cards are each shuffled independently.

What is the probability that at least one of them has the Ace through 4 of hearts appearing in it in the right order?

For example if you turned them over one at a time, the Ace would appear first and so on...


Assumption : The cards can be anywhere in the deck, and don't necessarily need to be consecutive.


The answer is 0.64.

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1 solution

Jordan Cahn
Dec 12, 2018

First, let us consider one deck. We don't care where the Ace through 4 of hearts appear in the deck, so long as they appear in the right order. There are 4 ! = 24 4! = 24 possible orders for these four cards, and only one of them is acceptable. So the probability of one deck having those four cards in order is 1 24 \frac{1}{24} and the probability of those cards being out of order is 1 1 24 = 23 24 1-\frac{1}{24}=\frac{23}{24} .

Thus, the probability of none of our 24 decks having the desired order is ( 23 24 ) 24 \left(\frac{23}{24}\right)^{24} . Finally, the probability that at least one deck has this order is 1 ( 23 24 ) 24 0.64 1-\left(\frac{23}{24}\right)^{24}\approx \boxed{0.64}

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