A Math League Probability Problem

A bag contains a red marble and g g green marbles. When marbles are randomly drawn from the bag without replacement, let P n P_n be the probability that n green marbles are drawn before the red marble is drawn. If P 5 + P 6 = g + 3 g 2 37 P_5+P_6=\frac{g+3}{g^2-37} , how many marbles are in the bag?

10 12 13 9 14 7 11 8

This section requires Javascript.
You are seeing this because something didn't load right. We suggest you, (a) try refreshing the page, (b) enabling javascript if it is disabled on your browser and, finally, (c) loading the non-javascript version of this page . We're sorry about the hassle.

1 solution

Jesse Li
Dec 21, 2018

We can solve for P n P_n by writing it in terms of g. Because there are g + 1 g+1 marbles in the bag, with one removed after every drawing, P 6 = g g + 1 g 1 g . . . g 5 g 4 1 g 5 P_6=\frac{g}{g+1}\cdot\frac{g-1}{g}...\frac{g-5}{g-4}\cdot\frac{1}{g-5} . The g g + 1 g 1 g . . . g 5 g 4 \frac{g}{g+1}\cdot\frac{g-1}{g}...\frac{g-5}{g-4} represents the probability that the first 6 drawings result in green marbles, while the 1 g 5 \frac{1}{g-5} represents the probability that the seventh drawing results in a red marble. In a similar way, P 5 = g g + 1 g 1 g . . . g 4 g 3 1 g 4 P_5=\frac{g}{g+1}\cdot\frac{g-1}{g}...\frac{g-4}{g-3}\cdot\frac{1}{g-4} .

When we simplify by cross cancelling, it turns out that both P 5 P_5 and P 6 P_6 equal 1 g + 1 \frac{1}{g+1} . P 5 + P 6 = g + 3 g 2 37 P_5+P_6=\frac{g+3}{g^2-37} now turns to 2 g + 1 = g + 3 g 2 37 \frac{2}{g+1}=\frac{g+3}{g^2-37} .

We can now solve for g:

2 g + 1 = g + 3 g 2 37 \frac{2}{g+1}=\frac{g+3}{g^2-37}

  1. Multiply both sides by g + 1 g+1 : 2 = g 2 + 4 g + 3 g 2 37 2=\frac{g^2+4g+3}{g^2-37}

  2. Multiply both sides by g 2 37 g^2-37 : 2 g 2 74 = g 2 + 4 g + 3 2{g^2}-74=g^2+4g+3

  3. Move everything over to the left side: g 2 4 g 77 = 0 g^2-4g-77=0

  4. Factorize the left side: ( g 11 ) ( g + 7 ) = 0 (g-11)(g+7)=0

  5. Solve for g: From ( g 11 ) ( g + 7 ) = 0 (g-11)(g+7)=0 , we get g = 11 g=11 or g = 7 g=-7 ; however, since there can't be a negative number of green marbles, g = 11 g=11 is the only possible value for g.

Now, we know that there are 11 green marbles and 1 red marble, so there are 12 \boxed{12} marbles in the bag.

0 pending reports

×

Problem Loading...

Note Loading...

Set Loading...