A probability problem by Anthony Pham

Probability Level pending

An ant is on a regular tetrahedron, where all the edges are 1 meter long. The ant, starting on a vertex, randomly chooses and crawls to another vertex, and repeats. The probability that the ant is back to the same vertex after crawling 5 meters can be written as p q \frac{p}{q} . If p and q are coprime, what is p + q ?


The answer is 101.

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1 solution

Anthony Susevski
Jul 30, 2015

Shades of 2003 Aime II #13 in this one. Similar solution. On the first move the ant makes, P(A)=0 since it was already there and P(B)=1/3=P(C)=P(D).

From here, a recursive statement can be made that can be used to solve the problem. If on move "N",

P(A)=a

P(B)=b

P(C)=c

P(D)=d

then on move "N+1",

P(A) = (1/3 x b) + (1/3 x c) + (1/3 x d)

P(B) = (1/3 x a) + (1/3 x c) + (1/3 x d)

and so on...

after 5 moves P(A) = 20/81 so p+q=20+81=101

(sorry for ugly format)

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