Omar and Rami are playing a series of games , each game has one winner ,
In each game Omar wins with a probability of 3 2 independently of the other games ,
The first winner in two consecutive games is the winner of the series ,
What is the probability that Omar will win the series ?
This section requires Javascript.
You are seeing this because something didn't load right. We suggest you, (a) try
refreshing the page, (b) enabling javascript if it is disabled on your browser and,
finally, (c)
loading the
non-javascript version of this page
. We're sorry about the hassle.
Let A denote the event that Omar wins, B for Rami.
Probability = A A + B A A + A B A A + B A B A A + A B A B A A + B A B A B A A + . . .
= A A ( ( 1 + A B + A B A B + A B A B A B . . . ) + ( B + B A B + B A B A B . . . ) )
Applying sum of infinite GP,
= A A ( 1 − A B 1 + 1 − A B B )
Putting A = 3 2 and B = 3 1 , we get the answer as 2 1 1 6 .
Problem Loading...
Note Loading...
Set Loading...
First case : Omar will win the first game .
Second case : Rami will win the first game .
I will give number 1 to the game that Omar win and number 2 to the game Rami win .
Because we want Omar to be the winner , Rami can't win two consecutive games , so ,
In the first case : the series of winners can be like :
1 , 1
1 , 2 , 1 , 1
1 , 2 , 1 , 2 , 1 , 1
...
So we get that the probability that Omar will win in this case is :
∑ n = 2 ∞ { 3 2 } n { 3 1 } n − 2 = 7 4
In the second case we get that the series of winners can be like :
2 , 1 , 1
2 , 1 , 2 , 1 , 1
2 , 1 , 2 , 1 , 2 , 1 , 1
...
So we get that the probability that Omar will win in this case is :
∑ n = 2 ∞ { 3 2 } n { 3 1 } n − 1 = 2 1 4
At the end we see that the probability that Omar will win the series is :
7 4 + 2 1 4 = 2 1 1 6