Andy the Ant is on a number line at the location 0. Each minute, he travels 1 unit to the right with probability
and 1 unit to the left with probability
. What is the expected value for Andy’s location after one hour?
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Let X i be the forward distance in meters that Andy travels during the i th minute and note that
E ( X i ) = 4 3 ⋅ ( 1 ) + 4 1 ⋅ ( − 1 ) = 2 1
for all i . Then, the forward distance Andy has traveled after one hour is simply X 1 + X 2 + … + X 6 0 . By linearity of expectation,
E [ i = 1 ∑ 6 0 X i ] = i = 1 ∑ 6 0 E [ X i ] = 6 0 ⋅ 2 1 = 3 0 .