Credit to Wee Xian Bin for the original problem .
Mark and Jolene are at it again. This time they are playing the badminton match such that whoever has 2 more set wins than the opposite player wins the game. If Mark still has a chance of winning a set, then the probability that Jolene will win the entire match can be represented as for coprime positive integers . What is ?
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The probability that Jolene instantly wins is 0 . 3 6 , whilst the probability that they end up back on level pegging is 0 . 6 × 0 . 4 + 0 . 6 × 0 . 4 = 0 . 4 8 .
When they get back to level pegging, the probability that Jolene wins is the same as it was at the start.
Let's represent this probability with p.
p = 0 . 3 6 + 0 . 4 8 p
0 . 5 2 p = 0 . 3 6
p = 5 2 3 6 = 1 3 9
So the answer is 9 + 1 3 = 2 2