Harry Potter in Gryffindor?

Hogwarts is a very famous school of witchcraft and wizardry, and according to its tradition, each student has to be sorted(by the sorting hat ) into any one of the four houses; Gryffindor, Hufflepuff, Ravenclaw and Slytherin.

The sorting hat's decision was random.

As always, a new batch of students appeared in the Great hall for the sorting ceremony . Famous Harry Potter entered the hall along with other students.The names were being called and the students were sorted.

Finally it was Harry's turn and he knew that the hat increased the probability by 50 % 50 \% based on the student's preference.

When the hat was put on his head, Harry asked the hat to put him in Gryffindor .

Considering the conditions above, what's the probability that Harry is placed in Gryffindor? If the probability is P P provide the answer as 1000 P 1000P .


The answer is 375.

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6 solutions

Sravanth C.
Jun 18, 2015

According to the question, the sorting hat's decision was random, so the probability that Harry is placed in Gryffindor is 1 4 \dfrac14

But, as Harry chose Gryffindor as his preference, so the probability of him being in Gryffindor increased by 1 4 × 50 100 = 1 8 \dfrac14 \times \dfrac{50}{100} = \dfrac18

Hence, probability that Harry is in Gryffindor, considering all the cases is: 1 4 + 1 8 = 3 8 = 0.375 \dfrac14+\dfrac18=\dfrac38 = 0.375

Finally, the answer is 1000 × 0.375 = 375 1000\times 0.375=\boxed{375}

Moderator note:

My main concern with this question is in terms of the phrasing.

What does it mean "increased the probability by 50%"? E.g. If he already had a 80% probability of getting in, if we increase the probability by 50%, would that mean that he has a 80+40=120% probability of getting in?

The original probability that a student gets sorted in a house is 1/4. But since Harry prefers to be sorted in Gryffindor, that probability increased by 50%. So 1/4 + ((1/4) * (1/2)) = 3/8. 3/8 * 1000 = 375

Rahul Baburaj
Jun 19, 2015

Initial Probability = 1/4 When Harry chose Griffindor Probability = 1/4 * (100+50)/100
'.' P= 3/8 1000P = 375

Sammy Berger
Jun 28, 2015

The key thing to note is that Griffyndor's probability is raised by 50% of itself . Let's say the final probability of going to Griffyndor is G . Let's also say the original probability of going there is g

The correct equation: G = g + (1/2) * g

Incorrect equation: G = g + 0.5

Just plug in 1/4 for g and you're golden!

It's a good thing we had 3 tries for this one, or I would have messed it up!

Martin Hellmich
Jun 19, 2015

50% of 25% = %12.5

25% + 12.5% = 100P

37.5 * 10 = 1000P = 375

Vishnu Bhagyanath
Jun 19, 2015

The initial probability of getting chosen to Gryffindor was 1 4 \frac 14 . But it is said that the probability would increase by 1 2 \frac 12 from the initial 1 4 \frac 14 means the new probability would be 1 4 × 3 2 \frac 14 \times \frac 32 1000 × 3 8 = 375 1000 \times \frac 38 = 375

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