Imagine 5000 people in a birthday party. What is the probability that all of them have the same birthday?
A.
B.
C.
D.
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A common mistake is that each person should have a prob. of 3 6 5 1 to have their birthday on a specific date. That means 5 0 0 0 people should have that prob. to the power of 5 0 0 0 ! That is wrong though!
The correct answer is B. Think of it as this:
What is the probability that 3 people have their birthday on the same date in 1 week ? (Mon - Sun)
The answer of it would be 4 9 1 as for 2 people, the prob. is 7 1 , or 4 9 7 and 3 people are just 7 3 7 , or 4 9 1 !