In a bombing Attack By A
Lockheed SR-71 Blackbird
such that there is
50%
Chance that any one bomb will strike the target.
Two direct hits are required to destroy the target Completely .
How Many bombs must be dropped such that the target is destroyed 99% or better ?
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Probability of hitting ≥ 9 9 % ⇒
Probability of not hitting ≤ 1 % = 0 . 0 1
Probability that none of n shots will hit = 2 n 1
Probability that exactly one will hit = ( 1 n ) 2 n 1
2 n ( 1 + n ) ≤ 0 . 0 1 ⇒ n ≥ 1 1
Ditto !! +1
2 hits are required to destroy the target isn't it? Where's that in your solution?if you could kindly explain
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He used the compliment of the probability that there will be 1 shot or 0 shots landed, giving the probability that at least 2 landed.
Using Python and Monte Carlo sampling:
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For n bombs there is a probability of (n+1)/2^n not hitting the target.
When n>=11 p<1%