Brilliant Marathon!

Logic Level 1

You and your friend decide to spend the whole weekend doing a Brilliant marathon. The winner is whoever has answered the most number of questions right out of a massive set of 1500 problems at the end of the 2 day weekend.

On the first day, you answer 1200 questions, out of which about 62.2% were right. Your friend answers 700 questions, out of which about 63.6% were correct. Your friend teases you over the phone about how he has got a higher percentage of questions correct than you at the end of the first day.

On the second day, you answer 300 questions, out of which about 58.3% were correct. Your friend answers 800 questions, out of which he answers about 58.8% were correct. Once again, your friend teases you because the percentage of the number of questions he has got correct is greater than yours.

Who won this marathon?

It's a draw. Your friend You

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7 solutions

Sharky Kesa
Sep 11, 2015

Though it seems like your friend has beaten you, you actually have won. This counter-intuitiveness is called the Simpson's Paradox .

During the first day, you answered 62.2 % × 1200 746 62.2\% \times 1200 \approx 746 questions right whereas your friend answered 63.6 % × 700 445 63.6\% \times 700 \approx 445 questions right.

During the second day, you answered 58.3 % × 300 175 58.3\% \times 300 \approx 175 questions right whereas your friend answered 58.8 % × 800 470 58.8\% \times 800 \approx 470 questions right.

Furthermore, both you and your friend answered all 1500 of the questions. We will represent the above information in a table.

You Your friend Day 1 746 445 Day 2 175 470 Total 921 915 \begin{array} {|c|c|c|} \hline \\ & \text{You} & \text{Your friend} \\ \hline \\ \text{Day 1} & 746 & 445 \\ \hline \\ \text{Day 2} & 175 & 470 \\ \hline \\ \text{Total} & 921 & 915\\ \hline \end{array}

Clearly, you answered more questions correct that your friend. Therefore, you are the winner.

And now, it's my turn to tease him :)

Pranjal Prashant - 5 years, 9 months ago

IN YOUR FACE, FRIEND!

Mohammad Farhat - 2 years, 9 months ago

i don think its necessary to do the math as percentage depends upon the number of number of questions attended as well..and on day1 the guy(you )attended an atrocious amount of questions and still maintained a decent percentage...

Sanjana Sebastian - 5 years, 8 months ago
Kaushal Kishore
Oct 4, 2015

No calculation is required.magnitude of difference in the numbet of questions solved on both days are same.(500 & -500). Just by seeing that average of 62.2 & 63.6 is greater than that of 58.3 & 58.6. We can say you win

I chose "you" without calculation betting on the fact that the example is intended to demonstrate Simpson's paradox ;) the answer should have been misleading...

Well, yeah, it was pretty obvious. I did that too.

Zoe Codrington - 2 years, 9 months ago
Qasim Khan
Dec 8, 2020

Apart from percentages, if we look at the sum of the actual number of correct answers, I won

Acta Tao
Nov 19, 2017

The total questions that I answer correctly is 1200 .622+300 .583 = 921.3 while the correct answered questions by my friend is 700 .636+800 .588 = 915.6. So I win the marathon.

Jasrelle Serrano
Nov 8, 2017
--- Me Correct Answers Friend Correct Answers
Day 1 1200*62.2% 746.4 700*63.6% 445.2
Day 2 300*58.3% 174.9 800*58.8% 470
Total 921.3 915.2
Debmeet Banerjee
Nov 15, 2015

My friend is not that stupid!! Yes Sharky Kesa rightly pointed out that it was a Simpson's Paradox. We get a particular result while doing experiments but the result gets reversed when the sets are combined together!!!

It's now your turn to tease your friend :-) :-)

Do teach your friend the Simpson's Paradox

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