Doug and Mattie are playing a game using strange dice. Each die is a cube with six sides. Doug's die has sides numbered 2, 2, 3, 3, 5, and 5. Mattie's die has sides numbered 1, 1, 4, 4, 6, and 6.
To play the game, Doug and Mattie roll their dice at the same time and whoever rolls the higher value wins. If they play many times, who will win more frequently, Doug or Mattie?
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When Doug rolls a 2 , he has a 3 1 chance of winning (Mattie throws a 1 ). When Doug rolls a 3 , he has a 3 1 chance of winning (Mattie throws a 1 ). When Doug rolls a 5 , he has a 3 2 chance of winning (Mattie throws a 1 or a 4 ).
All of the above cases, are equally likely, so the probability Doug wins is equal to the average of his chances of winning in each case. 3 3 1 + 3 1 + 3 2 = 3 3 4 = 9 4 Doug's probability of winning is less than 2 1 , so he is more likely to lose, meaning Mattie is more likely to win.
Simple direct approach of counting total positive cases.
we have 6 6=36 p. for "Doug" to win (2 make him win twice ,so 2 2=4),
and(3 make him win twice 2*2=4)
and(5 make him win 4 times 4*2=8) , So his chance =16/36 .
(if you calc. for "Mattie" , you get his chance=20/36.
SO "Mattie" wins ..
It can be thought in an easy way..Doug has 4 ways to win while Mattie has 5 ways.
Not correct. 5 ways may have lesser probabilty of occurring than 4 ways.
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P(Doug) = 16/36; P(Mattie) = 20/36, so MATTIE wins.