Suppose that the measured frequency of forest fires that burn down is found to be and that is known to be approximately
What do you expect the frequency of forest fires of burn area to be?
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The occurrence rate of forest fires that burn 1 0 0 k m 2 is 0 . 5 which means that they happen once every 2 years.
If the slope analysis shows that β = 1 . 2 , then the frequency of forest fires of size 1 0 0 0 0 k m 2 would scale according to p ( 1 0 0 0 0 k m 2 ) = p ( 1 0 0 k m 2 ) × ( 1 0 0 0 0 k m 2 1 0 0 k m 2 ) 1 . 2 = p ( 1 0 0 k m 2 ) × 1 0 0 1 . 2 1 ≈ p ( 1 0 0 k m 2 ) × 2 5 0 1 so that p ( 1 0 0 0 0 k m 2 ) ≈ p ( 1 0 0 k m 2 ) / 2 5 0 or roughly 0 . 0 0 2 o c c u r r e n c e s p e r y e a r , or once every 500 years.