Burning down the house

Use the conservation equation to find s \langle s\rangle in terms of ρ tree , \rho_\textrm{tree}, f , f, and r . r.

What is s \langle s\rangle when ρ tree = 0.4 , \rho_\textrm{tree} = 0.4, f = 0.01 , f = 0.01, and r = 0.05 ? r = 0.05?


Hint: Recall that ρ empty + ρ tree + ρ burning = 1. \rho_\textrm{empty} + \rho_\textrm{tree} + \rho_\textrm{burning} = 1.

Assume that ρ burning { ρ empty , ρ tree } . \rho_\textrm{burning} \ll \{\rho_\textrm{empty}, \rho_\textrm{tree}\}.


The answer is 7.5.

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1 solution

Josh Silverman Staff
Oct 18, 2017

In the last problem, you showed that the number of trees consumed by the average fire is given by f × ρ tree × L 2 × s . f\times\rho_\textrm{tree}\times L^2\times\langle s\rangle.

The conservation relation shows that this is equal to the average number of trees grown per time step, r × ρ empty × L 2 . r\times\rho_\textrm{empty}\times L^2.

From the normalization of the lattice densities, we know that ρ empty = 1 ρ tree burning , \rho_\textrm{empty} = 1 - \rho_\textrm{tree} - \textrm{burning}, and if we assume that ρ burning { ρ empty , ρ tree } , \rho_\textrm{burning} \ll \{\rho_\textrm{empty}, \rho_\textrm{tree}\}, then ρ empty = 1 ρ tree . \rho_\textrm{empty} = 1 - \rho_\textrm{tree}.

If we equate the two sides of the conservation equation, and use the relation between ρ empty \rho_\textrm{empty} and ρ tree , \rho_\textrm{tree}, we find f × ρ tree × L 2 × s = r × ρ empty × L 2 s = r f ρ empty ρ tree = r f 1 ρ tree ρ tree . \begin{aligned} f\times\rho_\textrm{tree}\times L^2\times\langle s\rangle &= r\times\rho_\textrm{empty}\times L^2 \\ \langle s\rangle &= \frac{r}{f}\frac{\rho_\textrm{empty}}{\rho_\textrm{tree}} \\ &= \frac{r}{f}\frac{1-\rho_\textrm{tree}}{\rho_\textrm{tree}}. \end{aligned}

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