Calculus and Probability?

Calculus Level 5

A B C D ABCD is a unit square. The points points E E and F F are chosen uniformly at random from the sides A D AD and A B AB respectively. What is the probability that the area of the triangle A E F AEF is greater than 1 3 \dfrac 13 ?

Give your answer to three decimal places.


The answer is 0.063.

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1 solution

Let A F = x AF = x and A E = y AE = y be our two independent, random variables, where each variable has the domain [ 0 , 1 ] [0,1] .

The sample space can be represented by another unit square with lower left corner ( 0 , 0 ) (0,0) and upper right corner ( 1 , 1 ) (1,1) . The area of Δ A E F \Delta AEF will exceed 1 3 \dfrac{1}{3} when

( 1 2 ) x y 1 3 x y 2 3 y 2 3 x . (\dfrac{1}{2})xy \ge \dfrac{1}{3} \Longrightarrow xy \ge \dfrac{2}{3} \Longrightarrow y \ge \dfrac{2}{3x}.

The region R R of intersection of the sample space and the region y 2 3 x y \ge \dfrac{2}{3x} is bounded above by the line y = 1 y = 1 going from x = 2 3 x = \dfrac{2}{3} to x = 1 x = 1 , below by the hyperbola y = 2 3 x y = \dfrac{2}{3x} and to the right by the line x = 1 x = 1 . The area of region R R is then

2 3 1 ( 1 2 3 x ) d x = x 2 3 ln ( x ) \displaystyle\int_{\frac{2}{3}}^{1} (1 - \frac{2}{3x}) dx = x - \frac{2}{3}\ln(x)

evaluated from x = 2 3 x = \dfrac{2}{3} to x = 1 x = 1 , which comes out to

( 1 0 ) ( 2 3 2 3 ln ( 2 3 ) ) = 1 3 + 2 3 ln ( 2 3 ) = 0.063 (1 - 0) - (\dfrac{2}{3} - \dfrac{2}{3}\ln(\dfrac{2}{3})) = \dfrac{1}{3} + \dfrac{2}{3}\ln(\dfrac{2}{3}) = \boxed{0.063}

to 3 decimal places. Note that since the sample space has an area of 1 1 the desired probability is just the area of region R R .

@Kevin Zhang Good question. You may want to specify that points E E and F F are chosen at random on sides A D AD and A B AB , respectively, to avoid any possible confusion. :)

Brian Charlesworth - 6 years, 3 months ago

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@Brian Charlesworth Exactly!! I thought that the line E F EF is moved diagonally and hence A E = A F AE=AF always!!

Kunal Gupta - 6 years, 3 months ago

if we see logically isn't the probability too low? it is ought to be pretty high ( at least 0.1 :P) please tell sir :)

A Former Brilliant Member - 4 years, 3 months ago

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Intuitively yes, I might have expected a somewhat higher value, but intuition isn't always reliable, particularly when it comes to probability calculations. If I had been expecting a probability of, say, 0.25, and got 0.063 instead I would question my logic and/or calculations, but if I were expecting 0.1 and got 0.063 I would just trust the math, (after doing the usual double-check that I would perform on any calculation, regardless of intuition). :)

Brian Charlesworth - 4 years, 3 months ago

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hmmm.. seems legit if it comes from you , i believe it :)

A Former Brilliant Member - 4 years, 3 months ago

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