Cannon Shot Variance

A cannonball is shot from ground level with a velocity of magnitude v v and a launch angle of θ \theta with respect to the ground.

Suppose many shots are fired. Over the many trials, θ \theta varies uniformly between 0 0 and π 2 \frac{\pi}{2} , and v v varies uniformly between 0 and 500 m/s 500 \, \text{m/s} . Gravity is 10 m/s 2 10 \, \text{m/s}^2 downward.

Let D D be the horizontal distance from the firing location to the cannonball's landing location. What is the variance of D D (in square meters)?

Inspiration
You may want to try this one first to get warmed up

Note: The listed answer is an approximation


The answer is 34348045.7878.

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1 solution

Guilherme Niedu
Jun 25, 2018

Let us call velocity in the x x -axis as v x v_x and velocity in the y y -axis as v y v_y .

Thus:

v x = v cos ( θ ) \large \displaystyle v_x = v \cos (\theta)

v y = v sin ( θ ) \large \displaystyle v_y = v \sin (\theta)

Being t t the time for the ball to reach its highest point from ground:

0 = v y 10 t \large \displaystyle 0 = v_y - 10t

t = v sin ( θ ) 10 \color{#20A900} \boxed{ \large \displaystyle t = \frac{v \sin(\theta)}{10} }

The total time that the ball will be in air is 2 t 2t , and then:

D = v x 2 t \large \displaystyle D = v_x \cdot 2t

D = v 2 sin ( 2 θ ) 10 \color{#20A900} \boxed{ \large \displaystyle D = \frac{ v^2 \sin(2 \theta)}{10} }

So, the variance will be:

σ 2 [ D ] = E [ D 2 ] E 2 [ D ] \large \displaystyle \sigma^2 [D] = E[D^2] - E^2[D]

σ 2 [ D ] = [ 1 500 1 π 2 0 π 2 0 500 v 4 sin 2 ( 2 θ ) 100 d v d θ ] [ 1 500 1 π 2 0 π 2 0 500 v 2 sin ( 2 θ ) 10 d v d θ ] 2 \large \displaystyle \sigma^2 [D] = \left [ \frac{1}{500} \cdot \frac{1}{\frac{\pi}{2}} \int_0^{\frac{\pi}{2}} \int_0^{500} \frac{v^4 \sin^2 (2 \theta) }{100} dv d \theta \right ] - \left [ \frac{1}{500} \cdot \frac{1}{\frac{\pi}{2}} \int_0^{\frac{\pi}{2}} \int_0^{500} \frac{v^2 \sin (2 \theta) }{10} dv d \theta \right ] ^2

σ 2 [ D ] = [ 1 25000 π 1 5 v 5 0 500 0 π 2 ( 1 cos ( 4 θ ) 2 ) d θ ] [ 1 2500 π 1 3 v 3 0 500 cos ( 2 θ ) 2 π 2 0 ] 2 \large \displaystyle \sigma^2 [D] = \left [ \frac{1}{25000 \pi} \frac15 v^5 \Bigg | _0^{500} \cdot \int_0^{\frac{\pi}{2}} \left ( \frac{1 - \cos(4 \theta)}{2} \right ) d \theta \right ] - \left [ \frac{1}{2500 \pi} \frac13 v^3 \Bigg | _0^{500} \cdot \frac{\cos (2 \theta)}{2} \Bigg | _{\frac{\pi}{2}}^{0} \right ] ^2

σ 2 [ D ] = [ 1 25000 π 1 5 50 0 5 ( π 4 sin ( 4 θ ) 8 0 π 2 ) ] [ 1 2500 π 50 0 3 3 ] 2 \large \displaystyle \sigma^2 [D] = \left [ \frac{1}{25000 \pi} \frac15 500^5 \cdot \left(\frac{\pi}{4} - \frac{\sin (4 \theta)}{8} \Bigg | _{0}^{\frac{\pi}{2}} \right ) \right ] - \left[ \frac{1}{2500 \pi} \frac{500^3}{3} \right ] ^2

σ 2 [ D ] = 50 0 5 500000 50 0 6 56250000 π 2 \large \displaystyle \sigma^2 [D] = \frac{500^5}{500000} - \frac{500^6}{56250000 \pi^2}

σ 2 [ D ] 34355226.766 \color{#3D99F6} \boxed{ \large \displaystyle \sigma^2 [D] \approx 34355226.766 }

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