A cannonball is shot from ground level with a velocity of magnitude and a launch angle of with respect to the ground.
Suppose many shots are fired. Over the many trials, varies uniformly between and , and varies uniformly between 0 and . Gravity is downward.
Let be the horizontal distance from the firing location to the cannonball's landing location. What is the variance of (in square meters)?
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Note: The listed answer is an approximation
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Let us call velocity in the x -axis as v x and velocity in the y -axis as v y .
Thus:
v x = v cos ( θ )
v y = v sin ( θ )
Being t the time for the ball to reach its highest point from ground:
0 = v y − 1 0 t
t = 1 0 v sin ( θ )
The total time that the ball will be in air is 2 t , and then:
D = v x ⋅ 2 t
D = 1 0 v 2 sin ( 2 θ )
So, the variance will be:
σ 2 [ D ] = E [ D 2 ] − E 2 [ D ]
σ 2 [ D ] = [ 5 0 0 1 ⋅ 2 π 1 ∫ 0 2 π ∫ 0 5 0 0 1 0 0 v 4 sin 2 ( 2 θ ) d v d θ ] − [ 5 0 0 1 ⋅ 2 π 1 ∫ 0 2 π ∫ 0 5 0 0 1 0 v 2 sin ( 2 θ ) d v d θ ] 2
σ 2 [ D ] = ⎣ ⎡ 2 5 0 0 0 π 1 5 1 v 5 ∣ ∣ ∣ ∣ ∣ 0 5 0 0 ⋅ ∫ 0 2 π ( 2 1 − cos ( 4 θ ) ) d θ ⎦ ⎤ − ⎣ ⎡ 2 5 0 0 π 1 3 1 v 3 ∣ ∣ ∣ ∣ ∣ 0 5 0 0 ⋅ 2 cos ( 2 θ ) ∣ ∣ ∣ ∣ ∣ 2 π 0 ⎦ ⎤ 2
σ 2 [ D ] = ⎣ ⎡ 2 5 0 0 0 π 1 5 1 5 0 0 5 ⋅ ⎝ ⎛ 4 π − 8 sin ( 4 θ ) ∣ ∣ ∣ ∣ ∣ 0 2 π ⎠ ⎞ ⎦ ⎤ − [ 2 5 0 0 π 1 3 5 0 0 3 ] 2
σ 2 [ D ] = 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 5 − 5 6 2 5 0 0 0 0 π 2 5 0 0 6
σ 2 [ D ] ≈ 3 4 3 5 5 2 2 6 . 7 6 6