Clay Pigeon Shooters

Clay pigeon shooting is the art of shooting at special flying targets, known as clay pigeons or clay targets, with a shotgun. Suppose there are 10 10 clay shooters in a professional competition. Each shooter has equal ability and they all use identical shotguns. One throws 20 20 clay targets simultaneously, each shooter picks a target at random and shoots at it once, all the shooters shooting at the same time. The expected number of targets to get hit is N N . Determine the value of N \lfloor N\rceil , the nearest integer of N N .


The answer is 8.

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1 solution

Joe Mansley
Jun 16, 2019

Let X k = 1 X_{k}=1 if the kth target if hit and 0 otherwise. We want E ( i = 1 20 X k ) = i = 1 20 E ( X k ) = 20 E ( X 1 ) E(\sum_{i=1}^{20} X_{k}) = \sum_{i=1}^{20} E(X_{k}) = 20E(X_{1}) .

E ( X 1 ) = P ( T a r g e t 1 g e t s h i t ) = 1 P ( N o s h o o t e r a i m s f o r t a r g e t 1 ) = 1 ( 19 / 20 ) 10 E(X_{1}) = P(Target 1 gets hit) = 1-P(No shooter aims for target 1) = 1- (19/20)^{10}

So the answer if 20 ( 1 ( 19 / 20 ) 10 ) = 8.025 20(1-(19/20)^{10}) = 8.025

You have to assume that all the shooters never miss.

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