Complaining about the payouts

A slot machine at a casino is designed to pay out 1 5 \frac{1}{5} of the games played. During a recent trip to the casino, Estelle played 8 games on a slot machine, but she only won once. She complained to the casino manager, who then explained to her the p -value of her experience. What p -value did the casino manager tell Estelle? Round your answer to three decimal places.


The answer is 0.503.

This section requires Javascript.
You are seeing this because something didn't load right. We suggest you, (a) try refreshing the page, (b) enabling javascript if it is disabled on your browser and, finally, (c) loading the non-javascript version of this page . We're sorry about the hassle.

1 solution

Andy Hayes
Jan 26, 2017

In this context, the p -value is the probability that a casino visitor would win 1 or fewer games on the slot machine in 8 games. This can be computed with the binomial distribution , assuming the slot machines are working as intended:

p = ( 8 0 ) ( 1 5 ) 0 ( 4 5 ) 8 + ( 8 1 ) ( 1 5 ) 1 ( 4 5 ) 7 0.503 . \begin{aligned} p &= \binom{8}{0} \left(\frac{1}{5}\right)^0 \left(\frac{4}{5}\right)^8 + \binom{8}{1} \left(\frac{1}{5}\right)^1 \left(\frac{4}{5}\right)^7 \\ \\ &\approx \boxed{0.503}. \end{aligned}

If the slot machine is working, then any customer would essentially have a 1 2 \frac{1}{2} chance to get the same payout in 8 games. Estelle can't really prove that the slot machine is broken!

0 pending reports

×

Problem Loading...

Note Loading...

Set Loading...