Consecutive Heads

A coin is tossed 7 times. Then the probability that at least 4 consecutive heads appear is

None of these choices 5 32 \dfrac{5}{32} 1 18 \dfrac{1}{18} 5 16 \dfrac{5}{16} 3 16 \dfrac{3}{16}

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2 solutions

Akhil Bansal
Jan 13, 2016

Let H deontes the head, T the tail. * Any of the head or tail
P ( H ) = P ( T ) = 1 2 , P ( ) = 1 P(H) = P(T) = \dfrac{1}{2} , P(*) = 1

Cases :

H H H H = ( 1 4 ) 4 × 1 = 1 16 HHHH*** = \left(\dfrac{1}{4}\right)^4 \times 1 = \dfrac{1}{16}
T H H H H = ( 1 4 ) 5 × 1 = 1 32 THHHH** = \left(\dfrac{1}{4}\right)^5 \times 1 = \dfrac{1}{32}
T H H H H = ( 1 4 ) 5 × 1 = 1 32 *THHHH* = \left(\dfrac{1}{4}\right)^5 \times 1 = \dfrac{1}{32}
T H H H H = ( 1 4 ) 5 × 1 = 1 32 **THHHH = \left(\dfrac{1}{4}\right)^5 \times 1 = \dfrac{1}{32}

\therefore The required probability = 5 32 \dfrac{5}{32}

Moderator note:

Good apporach. It is best to explain why these are all of the cases, and why that these cases do not overlap.

We can consider multiple cases for this problem.

Case 1: 4 heads in a row.

For the 4 heads in a row involving the first or last flips, the number of events is 2 × 2 2 = 8 2\times2^{2}=8 .

For the 4 heads in a row not involving the first or last flips, the number of events is 2 × 2 = 4 2\times2=4 .

Hence, the total number of possibilities for this case is 12.

Case 2: 5 heads in a row.

For the 5 heads in a row involving the first or last flips, the number of events is 2 × 2 = 4 2\times2=4 .

For the 5 heads in a row not involving the first or last flips, the number of events is 1.

Hence, the total number of possibilities for this case is 5.

Case 3: 6 heads in a row.

The number of possibilities for this case is just 2.

Case 4: 7 in a row. (1 possibility)

Hence, the probability is therefore 12 + 5 + 2 + 1 2 7 = 5 32 \dfrac{12+5+2+1}{2^{7}}=\dfrac{5}{32}

As a side note, you should make it explicit that we cannot have 2 or more strings of (max) N 4 N\geq 4 heads occurring​

Calvin Lin Staff - 5 years, 5 months ago

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