Choose four points randomly and uniformly on a circle. Let these points be the vertices of a quadrilateral. What is the probability that the center of the circle lies in the quadrilateral?
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I will assume that the cyclic quadrilateral is convex, i.e. the sides do not intersect each other.
Call the given points P 1 , … , P 4 .
In order for the center of the circle not to lie in the quadrilateral, there must be an arc of more than 1 8 0 ∘ without points. Let P a be the point immediately after this long arc in clockwise direction. The other three points then lie within 1 8 0 ∘ , or half a circle, clockwise from P a . The probability that they do so is 2 1 for each point, or ( 2 1 ) 3 = 8 1 combined.
That first point P a may be any of the four chosen points. Therefore the total probability that the center of the circle does not lie in the quadrilateral is 4 × 8 1 = 2 1 .
The probability that the center of the circle does lie inside the quadrilateral is the complement, 1 − 2 1 = 2 1 .