There are white and black balls in a bag, and white and black balls in a bag. If a bag is selected at random, and then a ball is drawn, find the probability of obtaining a black ball. Give your answer as a decimal number.
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At any trial, the desired event occurs if either of the following mutually exclusive compound event occur:
I. The first bag is selected, and then a black ball is drawn.
II. The second bag is selected, and then a black ball is drawn.
The probability that the first bag is selected and a black ball is drawn is 2 1 ( 1 5 1 0 ) = 3 1 .
The probability that the second bag is selected and a black ball is drawn is 2 1 ( 3 0 1 0 ) = 6 1 .
The desired probability is 3 1 + 6 1 = 2 1 or 0 . 5 .