A jar contains 7 white marbles and 3 blue marbles. Given that the 4 marbles are chosen from the jar at the same time, find the standard deviation of the number of the blue marbles chosen. If the standard deviation can be written as where and are coprime positive integers and is square-free, then what is ?
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Let X be the random variable that denotes the number of blue marbles chosen. The probability of choosing x blue marbles is
P ( X = x ) = ( 4 1 0 ) ( 4 − x 7 ) × ( x 3 )
Since there can be 0 , 1 , 2 , or 3 blue marbles in our selection, we can substitute x = 0 , 1 , 2 , 3 in the above formula to find the distribution of X .
x P ( X = x ) 0 ( 4 1 0 ) ( 4 7 ) × ( 0 3 ) = 6 1 1 ( 4 1 0 ) ( 3 7 ) × ( 1 3 ) = 2 1 2 ( 4 1 0 ) ( 2 7 ) × ( 2 3 ) = 1 0 3 3 ( 4 1 0 ) ( 3 7 ) × ( 3 3 ) = 3 0 1
The standard deviation of a distribution is given by σ = V a r ( X )
The variance of the distribution is V a r ( X ) = E [ X 2 ] − ( E [ X ] ) 2
E [ X 2 ] E [ X ] ⟹ ( E [ X ] ) 2 = 0 2 × 6 1 + 1 2 × 2 1 + 2 2 × 1 0 3 + 3 2 × 3 0 1 = 0 + 2 1 + 5 6 + 1 0 3 = 2 = 0 × 6 1 + 1 × 2 1 + 2 × 1 0 3 + 3 × 3 0 1 = 2 1 + 5 3 + 1 0 1 = 1 . 2 = 1 . 2 2 = 1 . 4 4
We get variance = 2 − 1 . 4 4 = 0 . 5 6 .
Standard deviation is the square root of variance σ = 0 . 5 6 = 2 5 1 4 = 5 1 4 . Thus, 1 4 + 5 = 1 9 □