Estimation of 20 year interest rate

Assume that a 10-year annually compounded interest rate is 10%. Given there is no market data available for R20, the 20-year interest rate, how would you estimate the 20-year rate in percentage terms ?


The answer is 4.880888.

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2 solutions

From the compound interest formula, we get ( 1 + 1 10 ) 10 = (1+\dfrac{1}{10})^{10}= ( 1 + r 100 ) 20 (1+\dfrac{r}{100})^{20} , where r is the twenty year rate of interest. So r = 100 ( 11 10 1 ) = 4.88088 r=100(√\dfrac{11}{10}-1)=4.88088

Winod Dhamnekar
Sep 13, 2019

It should be greater than 4.88% in order for the forward 10-year rate, 10 years from today to be nonnegative

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