Factoring Factorial Fate

Let P 4 P_4 denote the probability of rolling 4 4 fair dice, such that the numbers facing up altogether yield the product 6 ! 6! .

Let P 5 P_5 denote the probability of rolling 5 5 fair dice, such that the numbers facing up altogether yield the product 6 ! 6! .

Let P 6 P_6 denote the probability of rolling 6 6 fair dice, such that the numbers facing up altogether yield the product 6 ! 6! .

Which of the following choices must be true?

Details and Assumptions

  • Each of the 6 6 faces of all those fair dice contains a distinct integer from 1 1 to 6 6 .
  • Their probabilities are between 0 0 and 1 1 .
  • n ! n! denotes the factorial of n n .

Inspiration: (1) , (2)

P 4 < P 5 < P 6 P_4 < P_5 < P_6 P 5 < P 4 < P 6 P_5 < P_4 < P_6 P 4 < P 6 < P 5 P_4 < P_6 < P_5 P 6 < P 4 < P 5 P_6 < P_4 < P_5 P 5 < P 6 < P 4 P_5 < P_6 < P_4 P 6 < P 5 < P 4 P_6 < P_5 < P_4 P 4 = P 5 = P 6 P_4 = P_5 = P_6 Either two of the three values must be the same.

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1 solution

Mark Hennings
Mar 8, 2021

The only collection of four dice rolls that has a product of 6 ! 6! is ( 6 , 6 , 5 , 4 ) (6,6,5,4) . Thus P 4 = 1 6 4 × ( 4 2 ) × 2 = 1 108 P_4 \; = \; \frac{1}{6^4} \times \binom{4}{2} \times 2 \; =\; \frac{1}{108} There are four different sets of five dice rolls that multiply to 6 ! 6! , namely ( 1 , 4 , 5 , 6 , 6 ) (1, 4, 5, 6, 6) , ( 2 , 3 , 4 , 5 , 6 ) (2,3,4,5,6) , ( 2 , 2 , 5 , 6 , 6 ) (2, 2, 5, 6, 6) and ( 3 , 3 , 4 , 4 , 5 ) (3, 3, 4, 4, 5) . Note that the first possibility has one repeated digit, the second possibility has no repeated digits, while the third and fourth have two repeated digits. Thus P 5 = 1 6 5 [ ( 5 2 ) × 3 ! + 5 ! + 2 × 5 × ( 4 2 ) ] = 5 162 P_5 \; = \; \frac{1}{6^5}\left[\binom{5}{2} \times 3! \;\;+\;\; 5! \;\;+\;\; 2 \times 5 \times \binom{4}{2}\right] \; =\; \frac{5}{162} There are six different sets of six dice rolls that multiply to 6 ! 6! , namely ( 1 , 1 , 4 , 5 , 6 , 6 ) (1, 1, 4, 5, 6, 6) , ( 1 , 2 , 2 , 5 , 6 , 6 ) (1, 2, 2, 5, 6, 6) , ( 2 , 2 , 3 , 3 , 4 , 5 ) (2, 2, 3, 3, 4, 5) , ( 1 , 3 , 3 , 4 , 4 , 5 ) (1, 3, 3, 4, 4, 5) , ( 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 5 , 6 ) (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6) and ( 2 , 2 , 2 , 3 , 5 , 6 ) (2, 2, 2, 3, 5, 6) . Note that the first four possibilities have two repeated digits, the fifth has no repeated digits, while the last has one digit repeated three times. Thus P 6 = 1 6 6 [ 4 × ( 6 2 ) × ( 4 2 ) × 2 + 6 ! + ( 6 3 ) × 3 ! ] = 65 1944 P_6 \; =\; \frac{1}{6^6}\left[4 \times \binom{6}{2}\times\binom{4}{2}\times2 \;\;+\;\; 6! \;\;+\;\; \binom{6}{3}\times3!\right] \; = \; \frac{65}{1944} and hence P 4 < P 5 < P 6 \boxed{P_4 \; < \; P_5 \; < \; P_6 }

Bonus fact - the probability of a product of 6 ! 6! from n n dice is maximised at n = 6 n=6 .

Chris Lewis - 3 months ago

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