The probability that it will take 5 or more flips of a fair coin before it lands on heads can be written as b a , where a and b are coprime positive integers. Find a + b .
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we have da answer = i = 5 ∑ ∞ 2 i 1 = 1 6 1 .
Or the answer is P ( T T T T ) = 1 6 1 .
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I hope this comment gets more vote ups than the solutions which are present uptil now :P
oops i'm dumb.
I somewhat just guessed and did 2 1 6 1
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It's because there is a 2 4 1 chance that the first 4 flips are tails and a 2 1 chance that the 5th flip is heads.
I meant \frac{1}{2^{5}
The event that it will take 5+ flips to get a heads is equivalent to the odds of getting four tails in a row. The chances of this are one in 2 to the power of 4, or 1 in 16. Adding the numerator and denominator results in 17.
For the coin to take 5 heads or more to get heads, we should get 4 tails in the first four tosses. The probability for this to occur is 2 1 × 2 1 × 2 1 × 2 1 = 2 4 1 = 1 6 1 giving us the answer 1 + 1 6 = 1 7
The events described in the problem will occur if and only if the first four flips are tails. The probability of this is clearly ( 2 1 ) 4 = 1 6 1 , so the answer is 1 + 1 6 = 1 7 .
If we have 5 or more flips before we get heads, then the first 4 flips must be tails. The probability of getting a tail on any given flip is 2 1 , so the probability of 4 tails in a row is ( 2 1 ) 4 , which is equal to 1 6 1 . 1 + 1 6 = 1 7 .
1) there can be infinite possibilities as shown below. (T = tails and H = heads) T T T T H , T T T T T H , T T T T T T H , T T T T T T T H, ............
2)for 1st case probability is 1/32....for second case it is 1/64....for third case its 1/128 and so on.
3) since any of these is possible (because its given in question 5 or more heads) we wilh to add these as follows.
(1/32) + (1/64) + (1/128) + ....... this forms a GP with the first term (1/32) and common difference (1/2)
4) find the sum to infinite terms we get (1/16)....therefore a+b = 17
Needing 5 or more tosses to get heads is equivalent to the first four tosses giving tails. The chance of this is 1/2^4=1/16. 1+16=17
We have to read the question carefully. It is 5 or more flips. What is means is that 5,6,7,8,.... infinite number of flips that does not give u a heads. For 5 flips, it is written as (1/2)^5 and we have to consider 6,7,8..... which is just (1/2)^6, (1/2)^7, (1/2)^8..... and since it is a geometric progression of 1/2 starting from n = 5 to infinity, (1/32)/(1-1/2) = 1/16
exactly this is the way even i did. In fact: P(E)= 1-P(1 flip or 2 flips or 3 flips or 4 flips) is a correct shorter method
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P(E) = 1 - P(1 flip or 2 flips or 3 flips or 4 flips)