Give him a chance, he needs it

The probability of Sanjeet (a shooter) hitting a target is 3 4 \frac{3}{4} . How many minimum no. of times must he fire so that probability of hitting the target at least once is more than 0.99?

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3 \infty 5 4

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1 solution

Dan Wilhelm
Jul 11, 2015

The probability of missing the target n n times in a row is P = ( 1 3 / 4 ) n P = (1 - 3/4)^n . So, ( 1 P ) (1 - P) is the probability of hitting the target at least once after n n shots.

We are asked when ( 1 P ) (1 - P) is greater than 99 / 100 99/100 . Solving for n n :

1 ( 1 4 ) n > 99 100 1 - (\frac{1}{4})^n > \frac{99}{100}

1 100 > 1 4 n \implies\frac{1}{100} > \frac{1}{4^n}

4 n > 100 \implies 4^n > 100 .

Because 4 3 = 64 < 100 4^3 = 64 < 100 and 4 4 = 256 > 100 4^4 = 256 > 100 , the minimum number of times Sanjeet must fire is n = 4 n = 4 .

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