The probability of Sanjeet (a shooter) hitting a target is . How many minimum no. of times must he fire so that probability of hitting the target at least once is more than 0.99?
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The probability of missing the target n times in a row is P = ( 1 − 3 / 4 ) n . So, ( 1 − P ) is the probability of hitting the target at least once after n shots.
We are asked when ( 1 − P ) is greater than 9 9 / 1 0 0 . Solving for n :
1 − ( 4 1 ) n > 1 0 0 9 9
⟹ 1 0 0 1 > 4 n 1
⟹ 4 n > 1 0 0 .
Because 4 3 = 6 4 < 1 0 0 and 4 4 = 2 5 6 > 1 0 0 , the minimum number of times Sanjeet must fire is n = 4 .