Gold is more expensive in future?

Why is the future price of gold higher than the spot price of gold?

Image credit: CMEgroup
Gold in future is worth more Storage and insurance costs Interest rate People pay for the privilege of holding physical gold

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2 solutions

The future price of Gold is higher than the current spot price, for it includes fees of storage and delivery of the gold, also includes finance charges because of the delay payment.

Furthermore, the future price is determined based on the spot price.

The money market rate and supply/demand also affects the future price.

Generally, the rising interest rates adversely impact the Gold price.

I think everyone should read this .

  • According to it, whenever the dollar's real short-term interest rate is below 2%, gold rallies, and whenever the real short-term rate is above 2%, the price of gold falls.

  • Another rule of thumb is that gold moves eight times stronger than the difference between real interest rates and 2%.

For completeness, you should explain why the answer isn't "interest rate", since, like you mentioned, "money market rate" will affect future price.

Calvin Lin Staff - 6 years, 4 months ago

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Ok sir, I am going to school now and I'll think up a nice way to put it :)

*Edit : Done

A Former Brilliant Member - 6 years, 4 months ago
Anna Anant
Mar 5, 2015

If it was by interest rates the number would be accumulative instead of cumulative. Since the future price of gold is equated into it's sport price it has to be Storage and Insurance Costs....

How did you arrive at this conclusion? What data are you looking at?

Calvin Lin Staff - 6 years, 3 months ago

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