What is the probability that two people don't have the same birth date? Write the answer up to five decimal digits....
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i made a serious error in the question.... actually the answer is [(365X364)(3/4)/(365X365)]+[(365X366)*(1/4)/(366X366)], but both the answers i.e. the one mentioned by Sourav Kar and the original match to 5 decimal places.... sorry for that.... Also if you did use this method (without considering a leap year) then you got the right answer using the wrong method.... sorry for the inconvenience....
What about leap years?
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If it had been a leap year then it would be (366x365)/(366x366).I guess we are not considering it to be a leap year.
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In fact, having a birthday on that extra day has only a 4 1 th chance than all the other dates, so the probability would not be 3 6 6 × 3 6 6 3 6 6 × 3 6 5 as you claimed.
Exactly!
do damn typical
Intended solution: Let the first person pick a birthday. Now, the second person can pick any birthday EXCEPT the birthday that the first person picked; therefore the probability is simply 3 6 5 3 6 4 ≈ 0 . 9 9 7 2 6
My observations: I noticed that the problem writer assumed that nobody will ever have a birthday on the leap day, February 29. I will take this extra day into account in this second solution:
Since the leap day occurs every 4 years, it makes sense for our two people to pick from a set of dates spanning 4 years. That is, we are picking from a set of 3 6 5 + 3 6 5 + 3 6 5 + 3 6 6 = 1 0 9 6 dates.
Case 1: the first person's birthday is not on the leap day. This has a probability of 1 0 9 6 1 0 9 5 . Note that after the first person picks her birthday, the second person can pick any date except for the 4 dates that the first person covers. This means that there is a probability of 1 0 9 6 1 0 9 2 that the second person will pick a different birthday than the first person. Therefore the total probability for this case is 1 0 9 6 1 0 9 5 ⋅ 1 0 9 6 1 0 9 2 .
Case 2: The first person's birthday is on the leap day. This has probability 1 0 9 6 1 . Note that the second person now has a probability of 1 0 9 6 1 0 9 5 of not picking the same birthday as the first person. Therefore the total probability for this case is 1 0 9 6 1 ⋅ 1 0 9 6 1 0 9 5 .
Adding these two probabilities, we get the final probability to be 1 0 9 6 1 0 9 5 ⋅ 1 0 9 6 1 0 9 2 + 1 0 9 6 1 ⋅ 1 0 9 6 1 0 9 5 ≈ 0 . 9 9 6 3 5 which is indeed a different answer than the intended.
Actually i see an error in one of the obs. you have made and that is: You have taken 4 simultaneous years and considered all days different, but it is asked for one year an also a birthday on march second 1995 can also be on march 2, 1996 but both are considered as same birth dates.... it is not asked for years actually... only the days should match...
i made a serious error in the question.... actually the answer is [(365X364)(3/4)/(365X365)]+[(365X366)*(1/4)/(366X366)], but both the answers i.e. the one mentioned by Sourav Kar and the original match to 5 decimal places.... sorry for that.... Also if you did use this method (without considering a leap year) then you got the right answer using the wrong method.... sorry for the inconvenience....
The probability that two people have the same birthday is 1/365 x 1/365. So the probability that two people don't have the same probability is 1 - (1/365 x 1/365) which evaluates to 0.9999924939...
This is only for one specific day. You have to multiply by 3 6 5 to get the answer for every day of the year.
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(365×364)/(365×365)