Hidden Die
Jillian throws four 6-sided, fair dice on a table. One of the dice rolls under the table where it is hidden from her and the other three show the following result:
Before retrieving the hidden die, she says, "Since the most probable result when throwing four dice is , I think the most probable value the hidden die will show is "
Is she correct?
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The four throws are independent so the result of the hidden die could be any value within { 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 5 , 6 } with the same probability of 6 1 .