Suppose the probability that this problem will become popular half an hour after posting it is 1 6 8 0 7 1 3 6 8 2 . Assume that the probability this problem will become popular at any given time within this half hour remains the same. Then, the probability that this problem will become popular 6 minutes after posting it equals b a , where a , b are relatively prime positive integers. Find a + b .
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Very very good!!Thanx for sharing the problem and the solution!!Did u make the problem? @Steven Yuan
Half an hour is 5 blocks of 6 minutes each. As 1 6 8 0 7 1 3 6 8 2 = 1 − 1 6 8 0 7 3 1 2 5 = 1 − 7 5 5 5 . Hence the probability of not becoming popular is 5/7 and consequently that of becoming popular is 2/7. Answer: 9
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Let p be the probability that this problem becomes popular within 6 minutes of posting it. The value of 1 − p equals the probability that this problem does not become popular within 6 minutes. Since the probability of popularity remains the same throughout the half hour, we have that ( 1 − p ) 5 equals the probability that this problem does not become popular within 30 minutes. We know that this value equals 1 6 8 0 7 3 1 2 5 from the information we are given. Solving for p , we get p = 7 2 , so a + b = 2 + 7 = 9 .