How Likely is Just Four?

Probability Level pending

A toll road expects an average of 7 customers every 10 minutes.

What is the probability that, in the 10 minute interval, the toll road has exactly 4 customers? Multiply your answer by 100 and round. (You can use a calculator.)


The answer is 9.

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2 solutions

Prince Loomba
Jan 26, 2016

Same approach. e^-7*7^4/4!=0.0912

Nice job @Prince Loomba ! Congratulations being the first one to get it, too.

Drex Beckman - 5 years, 4 months ago
Drex Beckman
Jan 21, 2016

To solve, we can use the Poisson Distribution: p ( x ; μ ) = μ x e μ x ! p(x;\mu )=\frac{\mu^{x}\cdot{e^{-\mu}}}{x!} . Where μ \mu is the average interval and x x is the occurrence within the interval we are finding. So the probability is: 7 4 e 7 4 ! = 2401 e 7 24 = 2401 1 e 7 24 0.0912 \frac{7^{4}\cdot{e^{-7}}}{4!}=\frac{2401\cdot{e^{-7}}}{24}=\frac{2401\cdot{\frac{1}{e^{7}}}}{24}\approx{0.0912} . We multiply 0.0912 0.0912 by 100 and round to get 9 \boxed{9} .

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