Increased/Decreased Populations

Algebra Level 3

The population of a country increased by 2% per year from 2000 to 2003. If the population was 2,000,000 on December 31, 2003, what would be the population on January 1, 2000 (to the nearest thousand)?

Image credit: US Census 2010
1,500,000 1,880,000 1,920,000 1,848,000

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3 solutions

Marcus Juniper
Oct 16, 2014

Let:
- x be the initial population
- y be the final population
- z be the number of years passed since January 1st 2000

We know 1.02 is the rate of change (obtained from the 2% growth) so from here we create a standard rate of change expression.

y = x (1.02)^{ z }

Plugging in the values we know. 2,000,000 as y and 4 as z

2000000= x (1.02)^{4}

2000000=1.08243216 x

2000000/1.08243216= x

  • Whilst rounding to nearest whole number:
    2000000/1.08243216= 1847691

  • Therefore:
    x =1847691
    x =1848000 (to the nearest thousand)

Harri Bell-Thomas
Oct 15, 2014

Use the standard compound interest forumla;

2 , 000 , 000 × 0.98 3 1 , 848 , 000 2,000,000 \times {0.98}^{3} \approx 1,848,000

(0.98 for the 2% decrease going backwards each year and the power of three as we are going back 3 years)

Not quite. You misused the formula.

Note that 0.98 1 1.02 0.98 \neq \frac{1}{1.02} . A 2% increase going forward is not equal to a 2% decrease going backwards.

Note that 2 , 000 , 000 × 0.9 8 3 = 1 , 882 , 384 1 , 880 , 000 2,000,000 \times 0.98 ^ 3 = 1,882,384 \approx 1,880,000 .

Calvin Lin Staff - 6 years, 8 months ago

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Ah, thank you for pointing this out, Calvin! My bad - it's been a long day ;)

Harri Bell-Thomas - 6 years, 8 months ago
Abdul Lah
Oct 15, 2014

let x be the population of the country 2002 then by increase of 2% we have x + 2% x = 2000000 by solving we get 1960784 similarly repeating the process to 2000 on the fixed rate of 2 % we get 1846000

I got 1847691, and 1848000 was not an answer. 1.02^4 = 1.08243216 2000000/1.08243216=1847691

Frank Rodriguez - 6 years, 8 months ago

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Thanks, I have updated the answer choice to 1848000.

Calvin Lin Staff - 6 years, 8 months ago

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What were the initial choices?

Guiseppi Butel - 6 years, 7 months ago

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