On a game show there are three doors. Behind one door is a new car and behind the other two are goats. Every time the game is played the contestant first picks a door. Then the host will open one of the other two doors and always reveals a goat. Then the host gives the player the option to switch to the other unopened door. Should the player switch?
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The chance of the chosen door has the car:
3
1
The chance of the other 2 door having the car: 1-
3
1
=
3
2
When one of the 2 doors is revealed to have the goat, the chance of the second door has
3
2
as:
The chance of the 2 doors having the car is equal to
3
2
and the revealed door already has a 0 chance.
If he switches, the chance of winning is
3
2
, whereas the chance of winning if he doesn't switch is
3
1
Does it help in reality as well ?
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if he doesn’t switch,
the probability of winning a car is 3 1
now,if he switches.
the chance of winning a car is 3 2
as, 3 2 > 3 1 , he must switch