Monty hall!

Logic Level 1

On a game show there are three doors. Behind one door is a new car and behind the other two are goats. Every time the game is played the contestant first picks a door. Then the host will open one of the other two doors and always reveals a goat. Then the host gives the player the option to switch to the other unopened door. Should the player switch?

No Yes

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2 solutions

Mohammad Khaza
Feb 7, 2018

if he doesn’t switch, \text{if he doesn't switch,}

the probability of winning a car is \text{the probability of winning a car is } 1 3 \frac{1}{3}

now,if he switches. \text{now,if he switches.}

the chance of winning a car is \text{the chance of winning a car is } 2 3 \frac{2}{3}

as, 2 3 > 1 3 \frac{2}{3}>\frac{1}{3} , he must switch \text{he must switch}

Kenny O.
Sep 1, 2017

The chance of the chosen door has the car: 1 3 \frac{1}{3}
The chance of the other 2 door having the car: 1- 1 3 \frac{1}{3} = 2 3 \frac{2}{3}
When one of the 2 doors is revealed to have the goat, the chance of the second door has 2 3 \frac{2}{3} as:
The chance of the 2 doors having the car is equal to 2 3 \frac{2}{3} and the revealed door already has a 0 chance.
If he switches, the chance of winning is 2 3 \frac{2}{3} , whereas the chance of winning if he doesn't switch is 1 3 \frac{1}{3}


Does it help in reality as well ?

Kaushik Chandra - 3 years, 9 months ago

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Theoretically, yes.

Kenny O. - 3 years, 9 months ago

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