Not a Monty Hall Problem

Suppose your friend, Aira, is on a game show, and she's given the choice of three doors: Behind one door is a car; behind the others, goats.

Aira pick a door, and the host, who knows what's behind the doors, opens another door, which has a goat.

After this, you walk into the game. You know which door Aira picked, and you can see the revealed goat.

Now, you are to choose a door between the two unopened doors. What is the probability of you choosing the door with the car?

(Round your answer to the nearest hundredth if needed)


The answer is 0.5.

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1 solution

Stephen Mellor
Nov 17, 2017

You walk in with a 1 in 2 chance of picking the car. Simple.

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