Perp Twist

You are asked to find the value (present value) today, t = 0 t=0 , of an asset generating a cash flow of 1000 1000 starting at time t = 1 t=1 . The cash flow is expected to grow by a constant 200 200 every year in perpetuity, starting at t = 2 t=2 . The relevant rate of return is r = 0.10 r=0.10 .

Underneath is a table of the first 3 years:

t = 0 t=0 t = 1 t=1 t = 2 t=2 t = 3 t=3
0 0 1000 1000 1200 1200 1400 1400

HINT: You only need to use the perpetuity formula: P V t = C F t + 1 r PV_t=\frac{CF_{t+1}}{r}


The answer is 30000.

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1 solution

Christian Buhl
Oct 6, 2017

Usually whenever there's growth in a perpetuity it's expressed as a percentage g g , which is subtracted from r r in the perpetuity function as seen in the Gordons Growth model :

P V t = C F t + 1 r g PV_t=\frac{CF_{t+1}}{r-g}

However in this case the growth is not a steady percentage, but instead a constant amount - so we need to use a different trick.

It's easier to solve the problem if you visualize it in a table like so:

t=1 t=2 t=3 t=4 t=...
1.000 1.200 1.400 1.600 ...

However it does need rearrangement to gain the insight needed the solve the problem:

t=1 t=2 t=3 t=4 t=...
1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 ...
0 200 200 200 ...
0 0 200 200 ...
0 0 0 200 ...

Above I've given all the cash flows a separate row, from this we now see that each year when we get the extra 200, it's as if a new perpetuity is starting. All rows can then be valued using the perpetuity formula, for example the 1000 row is just P V 0 = 1.000 0.1 PV_0=\frac{1.000}{0.1} :

t=0 t=1 t=2 t=3 t=4 t=...
10.000 0 0 0 0 ...
0 2.000 0 0 0 ...
0 0 2.000 0 0 ...
0 0 0 2.000 0 ...
0 0 0 0 2.000 ...

Doing so we can see that all the individual present values of the rows containing the 200 in growth actually forms a perpetuity of 2000 starting at t = 1 t=1 . To finish it off we just need to use the perpetuity formula and add this to the present value of the 1000 perpetuity:

P V 0 = 10.000 + 2.000 0.1 = 30.000 PV_0=10.000+\frac{2.000}{0.1}=30.000

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