Pete's Probability Procedure 1

Probability Level 1

Your friend Pete is flipping a fair coin 1000 times. You arrive just as he is about to flip it for the last time. Pete tells you that, so far, he has got 499 heads, and 500 tails. What is the most likely outcome of the final flip?

Pete's Probability Procedure 2

Heads There is a 50/50 chance of either Tails

Stephen Mellor by Stephen Mellor , 20, United Kingdom

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1 solution

X X
May 26, 2018

Getting either a head or tail is independence,so it is always 50/50

0 Helpful 0 Interesting 0 Brilliant 0 Confused

Yes, it seems too obvious, but there is extra information that may lead you astray (as currently 5/6 people have got it right). There is another similar problem, which I have now added a link to in the problem.

Stephen Mellor - 3 years ago

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