Year | Population | Growth rate |
1999 | 20000 | 20r |
2004 | 25000 | 25r |
2009 | ? |
The population of a village increases continuously at a rate proportional that is proportional to the number of its inhabitants present at any time. If the population of the village was 20,000 in the year 1999 and 25,000 in the year 2004, what will be the population of the village in 2009?
(Birth rate, death rate, immigration, emigration, etc are all included in the population growth rate.)
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Let the population at any instant t be y . According to the question,
d t d y ∝ y .
⇒ d t d y = k y , [ where k is the proportionality constant. ]
⇒ y d y = k d t .
Integrating both sides, we get
ln y = k t + c , [ where c is a constant to be determined ]
In the year 1999, t = 0 and y = 2 0 0 0 0 ,
therefore, ln ( 2 0 0 0 0 ) = 0 + c .
In the year 2004, t = 5 and y = 2 5 0 0 0 ,
therefore, we get ln ( 2 5 0 0 0 ) = 5 k + c ⇒ ln ( 2 5 0 0 0 ) = 5 k + ln ( 2 0 0 0 0 )
⇒ k = 5 1 ln ( 4 5 ) .
Now, in the year 2009, t = 1 0 years.
ln y = 1 0 ⋅ 5 1 ln ( 4 5 ) + ln ( 2 0 0 0 0 )
⇒ ln y = ln ( 2 0 0 0 0 ⋅ 4 5 ⋅ 4 5 ) .
⇒ y = 2 0 0 0 0 ⋅ 4 5 ⋅ 4 5 .
⇒ y = 3 1 2 5 0 .
Hence, the population of the village in 2009 will be 3 1 2 5 0 .