Probabilities in Carland

In Carland, there is an infinite amount of cars, each with a license plate which has a random number from 0 to 999. Two of those cars are randomly chosen. Is there a higher probability that both cars will have the same number, or that one of the numbers is twice as large as the other?

There is no such thing as probability, and Carland doesn't exist. There is a higher probability that the two cars have the same number. The probabilities are exactly the same. There is a higher probability that one of the numbers is twice larger.

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1 solution

Manoel Abranches
Sep 16, 2015

probability of take a number = 1 probability of taking the same number = 1/1000 probability of taking 2 equal numbers = 1 * 1/1000 = 1/1000

given I take a odd number <= 499 it has a double If I take a even number <=499 it has a double anda a half (2 for each) If I take a even number > 499 it has a half for zero whe have only the case 0 0

since there are 250 odd number <= 499, 259 even numbers <= 499 and 250 even number > 500 then there are 250 + 249 * 2 + 250 + 1(for zero) = 999 ways to get a number and then its half or double

the probability of taking 2 numbers one is the double of the other is then 999/(1000*1000) < 1/1000

This is wrong.

Shira Ben Dor - 5 years, 9 months ago

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I updated the answer.

Manoel Abranches - 5 years, 9 months ago

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