Probability and Smarties

A little box contains 40 smarties: 16 yellow, 14 red and 10 orange.

You draw 3 smarties at random (without replacement) from the box.

What is the probabilty that you get 2 smarties of one color and another smartie of a different color?

Express your answer as a percentage rounded to the nearest whole percent.


The answer is 67.

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2 solutions

Yuen Ho Lam
Sep 15, 2015

The number of ways to choose 2 yellow + 1 other smarties is ( 16 2 ) × 24 = 2880 \binom{16}{2}\times 24=2880

The number of ways to choose 2 red + 1 other smarties is ( 14 2 ) × 26 = 2366 \binom{14}{2}\times 26=2366

The number of ways to choose 2 orange + 1 other smarties is ( 10 2 ) × 30 = 1350 \binom{10}{2}\times 30=1350

The number of ways to choose 3 smarties is ( 40 3 ) = 9880 \binom{40}{3}=9880

The probability is 2880 + 2366 + 1350 9880 0.667611336 \displaystyle \frac{2880+2366+1350}{9880}\approx 0.667611336 .

Expressed as a percentage rounded to the nearest whole percent, this is 67 % \boxed{67\%} .

could you please explain to me how you got those answers in those brackets. for the life of me, I can't figure it out.

David Kwaku - 2 years, 1 month ago

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( n r ) \binom{n}{r} means n C r ^nC_r .

n C r = n ! r ! ( n r ) ! ^nC_r = \dfrac{n!}{r!(n-r)!}

See Combinatorics .

Shubhrajit Sadhukhan - 7 months ago

Toooo calculative!

Shubhrajit Sadhukhan - 7 months ago

(a) 2 yellow and 1 different color

P a = ( 16 C 2 ) ( 24 C 1 ) 40 C 3 = 72 247 P_{a} = \frac{(16C2)(24C1)}{40C3} = \frac{72}{247}

(b) 2 red and 1 different color

P b = ( 14 C 2 ) ( 26 C 1 ) 40 C 3 = 91 380 P_{b} = \frac{(14C2)(26C1)}{40C3} = \frac{91}{380}

(c) 2 orange and 1 different color

P c = ( 10 C 2 ) ( 30 C 1 ) 40 C 3 = 135 988 P_{c} = \frac{(10C2)(30C1)}{40C3} = \frac{135}{988}

P = P a + P b + P c = 72 247 + 91 380 + 135 988 = 0.667611336 P = P_{a} + P_{b} + P_{c} = \frac{72}{247} + \frac{91}{380} + \frac{135}{988} = 0.667611336

as a percentage rounded to the nearest whole percent,

P = ( 0.667611336 ) ( 100 ) = 67 P = (0.667611336)(100) = 67 %

You can write n C r ^nC_r as ^nC_r.

Shubhrajit Sadhukhan - 7 months ago

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