square blocks. A person goes from the point to the point , and a second person goes from to . Both of them ( and ) leave at the same time with the same speed, following shortest paths on the grid. At each corner, they choose among the possible streets with equal probability.
The figure above shows a street plan ofIf the probability that meets can be expressed as where , find the minimum value of .
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For each person, there are 3 ! 4 ! 7 ! = 3 5 "shortest" paths, each of length 3 + 4 = 7 , ( 3 blocks up and 4 blocks right for P , 3 blocks down and 4 blocks left for Q . ) So if P and Q are to meet, it will be as they are each moving from their respective third to fourth grid points, i.e., after they have each traveled 3 . 5 blocks.
Now label the grid points with A being ( 0 , 0 ) and B at ( 4 , 3 ) . Then after traveling 3 blocks the probabilities that P and Q will be at point ( a , b ) will be as follows:
P P ( 0 , 3 ) = 8 1 , P P ( 1 , 2 ) = 8 3 , P P ( 2 , 1 ) = 8 3 , P P ( 3 , 0 ) = 8 1 ;
P Q ( 1 , 3 ) = 8 1 , P Q ( 2 , 2 ) = 8 3 , P Q ( 3 , 1 ) = 8 3 , P Q ( 4 , 0 ) = 8 1 .
Now there are 7 block midpoints at which P and Q can meet. For example, for them to meet at the midpoint of ( 1 , 2 ) and ( 2 , 2 ) person P will have had to travel to ( 1 , 2 ) and then choose to travel right with probability 2 1 , and person Q will have had to travel to ( 2 , 2 ) and then choose to travel left with probability 2 1 . This event would then occur with probability
P P ( 1 , 2 ) ∗ 2 1 ∗ P Q ( 2 , 2 ) ∗ 2 1 = 8 3 ∗ 2 1 ∗ 8 3 ∗ 2 1 = 2 5 6 9 .
This will be the same probability for 2 other midpoints, namely between ( 2 , 1 ) and ( 2 , 2 ) , and between ( 2 , 1 ) and ( 3 , 1 ) . As for the other 4 potential meeting points, the respective probabilities are as follows:
P P ( 0 , 3 ) ∗ 1 ∗ P Q ( 1 , 3 ) ∗ 2 1 = 1 2 8 1 = P P ( 3 , 0 ) ∗ 2 1 ∗ P Q ( 4 , 0 ) ∗ 1 , and
P P ( 1 , 2 ) ∗ 2 1 ∗ P Q ( 1 , 3 ) ∗ 2 1 = 2 5 6 3 = P P ( 3 , 0 ) ∗ 2 1 ∗ P Q ( 3 , 1 ) ∗ 2 1 .
Adding together the probabilities of these 7 mutually exclusive events, we reach a final probability of
3 ∗ 2 5 6 9 + 2 ∗ 1 2 8 1 + 2 ∗ 2 5 6 3 = 2 5 6 3 7 , and thus α + β = 3 7 + 2 5 6 = 2 9 3 .