Random descent

A game of random descent is a randomly generated series of decreasing (not strictly decreasing) natural numbers that are generated randomly by the following rules:

  • The game starts with some n N n \in \mathbb{N}
  • At every step a new natural number is selected randomly from the set { 1 , 2 , 3 , , n 1 , n } \{ 1,2,3, \ldots, n-1, n \}
  • The chosen number is taken as the new n n and the process is repeated until the number 1 1 is chosen.

What kind of function (when you ignore constants, coefficients and lower degree terms) best describes the expected number of iterations until the game ends at 1 1 ?

log n \log{n} log n n \frac{\log{n}}n n 2 n^2 n \sqrt{n} n 3 \sqrt[3]{n} n n

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1 solution

Henry U
Nov 2, 2018

At every iteration, the exspected value of the chosen new number is n 2 \frac n 2 , so the set of possibilities is split in half every time. Therefore, the number of iterations until 1 1 is selected is approximately log 2 n \boxed{\log_2{n}} .

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