Random rook movements

A rook begins at a corner of an 8 × 8 8 \times 8 chessboard. Every minute, it makes a legal move, where each move has the same probability of being chosen. What is the expected number of minutes before the rook reaches the opposite corner?


Source: 2015 HMMT November Team Round, Problem 8.


The answer is 70.

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1 solution

Mark Hennings
Mar 8, 2016

There are three types of square on the chessboard. Type 1 1 squares are those from which the rook must take at least two moves to get to the top-right corner; these are squares in rows 1 7 1-7 and in columns 1 7 1-7 . Type 2 2 squares are those from which the rook can reach the top-right corner in one move; these are squares in row 8 8 and columns 1 7 1-7 , or else in column 8 8 and rows 1 7 1-7 . The only Type 3 3 square is the top-right target square in row 8 8 and column 8 8 . We are counting rows from the bottom, and columns from the left.

From a Type 1 1 square, the rook will move to another Type 1 1 square with probability 6 7 \tfrac67 , and will move to a Type 2 2 square with probability 1 7 \tfrac17 . From a Type 2 2 square, the rook will move to a Type 1 1 square with probability 1 2 \tfrac12 , will move to another Type 2 2 square with probability 3 7 \tfrac37 , and will move to the Type 3 3 square, ending the game, with probability 1 14 \tfrac{1}{14} .

Given these observations, the expected number of moves until the game ends only depends on the Type of the starting square, and not more generally on the actual square. Let E 1 E_1 be the expected number of moves to end the game, starting from a Type 1 1 square, and let E 2 E_2 be the expected number of moves to end the game, starting from a Type 2 2 square. Conditional expectation arguments tell us that E 1 = 6 7 ( E 1 + 1 ) + 1 7 ( E 2 + 1 ) E 2 = 1 2 ( E 1 + 1 ) + 3 7 ( E 2 + 1 ) + 1 14 × 1 \begin{array}{rcl} E_1 & = & \tfrac67\big(E_1 + 1\big) + \tfrac17\big(E_2 + 1\big) \\ E_2 & = & \tfrac12\big(E_1 + 1\big) + \tfrac37\big(E_2 + 1\big) + \tfrac{1}{14}\times1 \end{array} and hence E 1 = E 2 + 7 8 E 2 = 7 E 1 + 14 E_1 \; = \; E_2 + 7 \qquad \qquad 8E_2 \; = \; 7E_1 + 14 Solving these simultaneous equations yields E 2 = 63 E_2 = 63 and E 1 = 70 E_1 = \boxed{70} .

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