Let’s play a game of Russian roulette. I have tied you to a chair. I have a gun in my hand. I show you the cylinder of the gun, six chambers, all empty. Now you see me put two bullets in ADJACENT chambers in the gun. I close the cylinder and spin it. I put the gun to your head and pull the trigger. Click. Its a blank! You survived!
Now I’m going to pull the trigger one more time WITHOUT spinning the cylinder. What is the percentage probability of survival for the second shot?
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Consider bullets in adjacent chambers 5 6. Since first shot is a blank, it had to be chamber 1 2 3 or 4 that was fired. So next chamber to be fired will be 2 3 4 or 5
3/4 chance of survival --- 75 %