Sea Level Fluctuations

According to data from NOAA (National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration), monthly sea level fluctuation taken from the San Francisco Bay Area followed a 95 % 95\% confidence interval ( 1.75 , 2.13 ) (1.75,2.13) mm/year. If the standard deviation of the fluctuation is 3.6478 3.6478 mm/year, how many years did the data cover?


The answer is 118.

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1 solution

Since confidence intervals are constructed with the sample mean at its center, then X ˉ = 1.75 + 2.13 2 = 1.94 \bar X=\frac{1.75+2.13}{2}=1.94 . Also, we must have X ˉ + z 0.025 σ n = 2.13 \bar X + z_{0.025} \cdot \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}=2.13 , which implies n = ( σ z 0.025 2.13 X ˉ ) 2 n=\left (\sigma\cdot \frac{z_{0.025}}{2.13-\bar X} \right )^2 . Therefore the sample size is n = ( 3.6478 1.96 2.13 1.94 ) 2 1416 n=\left (3.6478\cdot \frac{1.96}{2.13-1.94} \right )^2\approx 1416 . Since the sample size is monthly, then the data covered 118 years.

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