Some modest Yahtzee goals

If the probability of getting at least one pair of matching dice when rolling five 6-sided dice is a b \frac{a}{b} , where a a and b b are positive co-prime integers, then what is a + b a+b ?

Note: Three-of-a-kind, four-of-a-kind, full house, yahtzee, or two pairs would all count as "at least one pair of matching dice." However, a straight ( { 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 5 } \{1,2,3,4,5\} or { 2 , 3 , 4 , 5 , 6 } \{2,3,4,5,6\} ) or a small straight would not count.


Check out The anti-Yahtzee first to make finding the solution to this problem trivial.


The answer is 103.

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1 solution

Andy Hayes
Dec 6, 2015

The solution to the anti-Yahtzee problem, in which the goal was to get five distinct dice rolls, is 6 6 × 5 6 × 4 6 × 3 6 × 2 6 = 5 54 \frac{6}{6}\times\frac{5}{6}\times\frac{4}{6}\times\frac{3}{6}\times\frac{2}{6}=\frac{5}{54} . Alternatively, ( 6 5 ) × 5 ! 6 5 = 5 54 \Large\frac{\binom{6}{5}\times 5!}{6^5}=\normalsize\frac{5}{54} .

This problem asks for the complement event of the anti-Yahtzee problem. Therefore, the probability is 1 5 54 = 49 54 1-\frac{5}{54}=\frac{49}{54} , and so a + b = 103 a+b=\boxed{103} .

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