Suppose a spinner has x numbers on it, and the probability that the spinner will land on each number is equal. If you spin the spinner x times, what is the probability that each spin will result in a different number?
This section requires Javascript.
You are seeing this because something didn't load right. We suggest you, (a) try
refreshing the page, (b) enabling javascript if it is disabled on your browser and,
finally, (c)
loading the
non-javascript version of this page
. We're sorry about the hassle.
The second spin has a x x − 1 probability of giving a result different from the first.
If the second spin gives a result different from the first, the third spin has a x x − 2 probability of being different from the first two.
This pattern continues all the way to the last spin, which has a x 1 probability of being different from all the other spins if they all yielded different results.
To find the probability that all spins yield different numbers, multiply all the probabilities together: x x − 1 ⋅ x x − 2 ⋅ . . . x 1 . This simplifies to x x − 1 ( x − 1 ) ! , because in the numerator, we start with x − 1 and multiply all the way down to 1, and in the denominator, we multiply x by itself x − 1 times. We can multiply the numerator and denominator by x , to achieve a result of x x x ! .
Problem Loading...
Note Loading...
Set Loading...
Let the probability of getting a different number for each spin of n spins, where n ≤ x , be p ( n ) . Then for the first spin, p ( 1 ) = x x , since any number can be the first different number. For the second spin, since 1 number of been chosen, there are remaining x − 1 numbers to be chosen, then p ( 2 ) = x x × x x − 1 . Similarly, p ( 3 ) = x x × x x − 1 × x x − 2 and so on. And p ( x ) = x x × x x − 1 × x x − 2 ⋯ x 3 × x 2 × x 1 = x x x ! .