I have a bag, which contains red stones and blue stones.
If I randomly take out the stones one by one and then lay them out in order of appearance, what is the probability that there are three (or more) stones of matching color in a row?
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There is one way of having 3 reds in a row without 3 blues being in a row (First one shown above), since we are counting the blues below and don't want to double count.
4 ways of having 4 blues together.
12 ways of having 3 (but not 4) blues together
1 + 4 + 1 2 = 1 7
And there are ( 3 7 ) = 3 5 ways to pick them.
P = 3 5 1 7