The Gambler's Friend

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If one die is chosen from a bag of six dice each given a number from 1 1 to 6 6 such that the n t h n^{th} die has a 2 7 \frac{2}{7} chance of rolling n n and a 1 7 \frac{1}{7} chance of rolling any other of the numbers from 1 1 to 6 6 . Given that the die chosen rolled the sequence ( 1 , 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 5 , 6 ) (1,1,2,3,4,5,6) k k times and the probability that it is the first die is 1 2 \frac{1}{2} or greater what is the minimum value of k k


The answer is 3.

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