The Median

Calculus Level 5

Let x x and y y be two independent continuous random variables uniformly distributed over [ 0 , 10 ] [0,10] . Given that P ( x y < m ) = 0.5 P(xy<m)=0.5 for a positive real m m , find 1000 m 1000m rounded to the nearest integer.


The answer is 18668.

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2 solutions

Sam Zhou
Jul 31, 2019

We can graph y = m x y=\frac{m}{x} , x = 10 x=10 , and y = 10 y=10 , as shown below.

Note that the red line represents y = m x y=\frac{m}{x} when m = 50 m=50 .

P ( x y < m ) = 1 P ( x y > m ) P(xy<m)=1-P(xy>m) . The upper right area formed by the blue, red, and green lines represents 100 P ( x y > m ) 100P(xy>m) and is equal to

m 10 10 ( 10 m x ) d x = [ 10 x m ln ( x ) ] m 10 10 = 100 m ln ( 10 ) m + m ln ( m 10 ) \int_{\frac{m}{10}}^{10} (10-\frac{m}{x})dx=[10x-m\ln(x)]_{\frac{m}{10}}^{10}=100-m\ln(10)-m+m\ln(\frac{m}{10})

= 100 m m ( ln ( 10 ) ln ( m 10 ) ) = 100 m ( 1 + ln ( 100 m ) ) =100-m-m(\ln(10)-\ln(\frac{m}{10}))=100-m(1+\ln(\frac{100}{m}))

Therefore, P ( x y < m ) = 1 P ( x y > m ) = 1 ( 1 m ( 1 + ln ( 100 m ) ) 100 ) = m ( 1 + ln ( 100 m ) ) 100 P(xy<m)=1-P(xy>m)=1-(1-\frac{m(1+\ln(\frac{100}{m}))}{100})=\frac{m(1+\ln(\frac{100}{m}))}{100}

Solving the equation m ( 1 + ln ( 100 m ) ) 100 = 0.5 \frac{m(1+\ln(\frac{100}{m}))}{100}=0.5 graphically, we get m = 18.668 m=18.668 , so the answer is 18668 \boxed{18668} .

Alapan Das
Aug 11, 2019

Let us choose an real number 0 y 10 0≤y≤10 . The probability that the y is in between y y and y + d y y+dy is d y 10 \frac{dy}{10} . Now, for y m 10 y≤\frac{m}{10} , x x can be anything in the interval [ 0 , 10 ] [0,10] . So, in this case the probability of choosing x x obeying the given condition is exactly 1 1 .

So, the probability is P 1 = 1 × m 10 1 10 = m 100 P_1=1×\frac{m}{10}\frac{1}{10}=\frac{m}{100} .

Now if y m 10 y≥\frac{m}{10} , then x x has to be chosen from the interval [ 0 , m y ] [0,\frac{m}{y}] ,and the probability of choosing that x x is m 10 y \frac{m}{10y} .

Then the total probability is
P 2 = m 100 m 10 10 d y y = m 100 l n ( 100 m ) P_2=\frac{m}{100}\int_{\frac{m}{10}}^{10} \frac{dy}{y}=\frac{m}{100}ln(\frac{100}{m}) .

So, 0.5 = P = P 1 + P 2 = m 100 ( 1 + ( l n 100 m ) 0.5=P=P_1+P_2=\frac{m}{100}(1+(ln\frac{100}{m}) .

Solving m we get m = 0.18668.. m=0.18668.. . So, [ 1000 m ] = 18668 [1000m]=18668 .

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